2008 part of basic chemical development trend forecast

Relevant persons analyzed and forecasted the development trends of basic chemical industry in 2008. Prediction 1: The average price of PVC decreased by 5%. In 2007, the average price of PVC for the whole year was approximately 7190 yuan (caraveling method, taxation price in East China market), which was 490 yuan/ton higher than that in 2006. Although the high price of crude oil and the increase in domestic coal and electricity costs will continue to be the driving force behind the rise in PVC prices, the average price of PVC in 2008 is expected to be affected by the negative factors such as the low-cost production capacity in the western region and a large number of RMB production and RMB exchange rate rising. The decline.
Prediction 2: Soda ash prices continue to rise by 5%. In 2007, the average annual price of soda ash was approximately 1,640 yuan (Shandong Haihua, including tax price), which was RMB 160/ton higher than that in 2006. It is expected that the price of coal, electricity and other energy will continue to remain high in 2008, and the price of raw salt for the main raw material for production of soda ash may be weaker and weaker, thus promoting the domestic soda ash prices to maintain the upward trend in 2008, and the average annual price is expected to increase by 5% over 2007. .

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