Xu Changming: China is expected to become the runner-up in global car sales this year

New Express News (Reporter He Jianghua) — Recently, Xu Changming, director of the Economic Information Center at the National Information Center, spoke at the Anbang Financial Forum. He stated that China's total car sales in 2006 were expected to reach between 6.4 million and 6.5 million units, an increase of about 600,000 compared to the previous year. This growth suggests that China’s auto market could surpass Japan in 2006, becoming the second-largest in the world. Looking back at the automotive market in 2005, Xu described the development as relatively positive and healthy. While the overall growth rate was slightly lower than the previous year, the decline wasn’t significant. He emphasized that the market remained stable and well-balanced. When discussing this year’s growth, Xu noted that passenger car sales are expected to rise more rapidly, possibly by around 17%. In contrast, commercial vehicle sales may grow more slowly. Heavy-duty vehicles, he explained, are likely to experience an adjustment period this year. Their sales are expected to remain stable, similar to last year, as they have largely recovered to the level seen in 2003. In 2003, heavy-duty vehicle sales stood at 250,000 units, rising sharply to 370,000 in 2004, but then dropping back to 250,000 in 2005. Xu predicted that this year would see a return to the normal growth trend observed in 2003. He also mentioned that the combined growth rate for commercial vehicles might be even lower, mainly due to the pace of economic development. Leading institutions forecast that this year’s economic growth will be slightly below last year’s, estimated at around 8.8%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from 2005. This slowdown is expected to have a direct impact on commercial vehicle sales, which are closely tied to industrial and infrastructure activity. Overall, while the Chinese auto market continues to expand, the growth trajectory varies across different vehicle types, reflecting broader economic conditions and sector-specific dynamics.

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